Market Insights

The Three Central Banks: UAE, Stagflation and a Window for Dollar Sellers

The Three Central Banks: UAE, Stagflation and a Window for Dollar Sellers

The Fed, ECB and BoE all decide this week as the UAE quits OPEC and Brent breaks $115. Why the dollar's recent strength is a window for sellers, not a turn.

Sterling's Opening: Why the ECB May Be About to Make a Mistake

Sterling's Opening: Why the ECB May Be About to Make a Mistake

The ECB is signalling hikes into a weakening European economy. We think it's a mistake. Why this creates an asymmetric setup for sterling against the dollar and euro.

Beyond Hormuz: Why the Warsh Hearing and the US Rate Path Are Now Driving the Dollar

Beyond Hormuz: Why the Warsh Hearing and the US Rate Path Are Now Driving the Dollar

Why the Warsh confirmation hearing and the Fed's rate path are now the main drivers of dollar weakness, and what it means for GBP and EUR.

Hormuz Is Open, a Deal Is Close and The Dollar Is Falling

Hormuz Is Open, a Deal Is Close and The Dollar Is Falling

Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz completely open for all commercial vessels today. A $20 billion cash-for-uranium deal is on the table. Trump says a peace deal is very close. Here is what it means for GBP, EUR and USD.

FX Treasury Management Explained: How Businesses Manage Currency Risk, Liquidity, and Cash Flow

FX Treasury Management Explained: How Businesses Manage Currency Risk, Liquidity, and Cash Flow

FX treasury management explained. Learn how businesses manage currency risk, liquidity, and cash flow to protect margins and improve financial outcomes.

US Metal Tariffs, the COMEX Premium and What It Means for GBP and USD

US Metal Tariffs, the COMEX Premium and What It Means for GBP and USD

The biggest overhaul of US metal tariffs in years took effect on 6 April. Aluminium hit a four-year high. Two of the world's largest smelters are offline. Central banks are selling dollars and buying gold at historic pace. Here is what it means for UK businesses and GBP.

Sterling Rebounds on Gilt Demand and Dollar Weakness, But Structural Pressures Remain

Sterling Rebounds on Gilt Demand and Dollar Weakness, But Structural Pressures Remain

10-year UK gilt yields hit 4.91%, the highest since 2008. JPMorgan reported record trading revenues. The Fed is weeks from a new Chair. Here is what it means for GBP, EUR and USD.

GBP/USD, EUR/USD & GBP/EUR Forecast: War, Oil Prices and USD Outlook

GBP/USD, EUR/USD & GBP/EUR Forecast: War, Oil Prices and USD Outlook

Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices are reshaping the FX market. In this GBP/USD, EUR/USD and GBP/EUR forecast, we break down USD strength, sterling risks, and what businesses should be watching now.

How Oil Prices Affect Exchange Rates: The Iran Ceasefire and What It Means for GBP and EUR

How Oil Prices Affect Exchange Rates: The Iran Ceasefire and What It Means for GBP and EUR

Oil prices and currency markets are closely connected. We explain how rising oil affects GBP, EUR and USD, and what today's Iran ceasefire means for exchange rates.

FX Market Outlook April 2026: Inflation, Volatility and Central Bank Risk

FX Market Outlook April 2026: Inflation, Volatility and Central Bank Risk

FX market outlook covering inflation, geopolitics and central bank divergence. Key risks and opportunities for EUR, GBP and USD in the weeks ahead.

G10 FX Outlook: Energy Shock, Sterling Pressure and a Market Still Driven by Headlines

G10 FX Outlook: Energy Shock, Sterling Pressure and a Market Still Driven by Headlines

Energy prices and geopolitical risk are driving G10 FX markets, with sterling under pressure, the dollar supported & commodity currencies diverging. Explore the key themes shaping GBP, EUR and USD this week.

Weekly FX Outlook: Volatility, Opportunity and a Market That Can Move Both Ways

Weekly FX Outlook: Volatility, Opportunity and a Market That Can Move Both Ways

Currency markets are shifting from one-way moves to a more volatile, two-way environment driven by geopolitics, energy prices and bond yields. Discover why short-term FX opportunities are emerging across GBP/USD, GBP/EUR & EUR/USD.