Market insights

The desk's view, in writing.

Strategic FX briefings, weekly outlooks and market analysis from the Lamera Capital dealing desk. Written for people with real currency exposure, not for clicks.

The Latest · USD

Jackson Hole: The Dollar's Next Test

The Treasury's bond buyback pushed the Dollar to a three-month low and the rally unwound in a day. Why Warsh at Jackson Hole is now the Dollar's next test.

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Fiscal Policy, Central Banks, and the Currency Market: Why Coordination Now Matters Most

Discover how government spending, central bank policy, and market confidence are shaping currency movements in 2025. Clear insights from Lamera Capital’s Strategic FX Desk.

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G10 Currency Outlook 14th October 2025

Trade tensions and political risks dominate FX markets this week. See what’s driving the USD, EUR, and GBP in our concise G10 currency outlook.

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Weekly FX Outlook: The Pound is range bound

UK fiscal tightening & weak confidence weigh on GBP as EURO stability returns. With tax rises & slow growth ahead of the November Budget, the pound’s rebound looks unlikely.

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Weekly FX Roundup: Sterling’s Strength Fades as Reality Bites

Sterling’s brief rise above 1.15 against the euro has faded, just as forecast. With UK fiscal risk rising & business confidence falling, the pound’s strength looks borrowed.

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Sterling Rises as France Falters, but the Calm May Not Last

GBP/EUR climbs to it's highest level since July, but the move looks more like euro weakness than UK strength. The UK faces fiscal strains ahead of November’s Budget.

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FX outlook October 6th 2025: UK fiscal risks grow, the euro holds & the dollar drifts

Sterling stalls at 1.15 as fiscal pressure builds ahead of UK Budget. Euro steady, dollar drifts. Weekly FX outlook covering up to date currency market news.

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Weekly FX Roundup: Pound Under Pressure, Euro Resilient, NFP data delayed

Sterling stays under pressure as fiscal risks mount, the euro holds firm on policy stability, and the dollar drifts without its key NFP signal amid the U.S. shutdown.

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Central Banking at a Crossroads: Reflections from Klaas Knot’s Farewell

A reflective piece on speeches by Bailey, Williams, and Lagarde at Klaas Knot’s farewell symposium. Their shared message: financial stability is fragile, risks have shifted to non-banks, and vigilance is essential.

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How a Weak Dirham is Driving British Investment into Dubai Property

A weak dirham is giving British buyers discounts on Dubai property in 2025. Here’s how currency shifts are driving UK investment.

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Sterling Under Pressure as Fiscal Risks and US Data Dominate

The pound stays fragile as UK fiscal risks collide with political pressure, the euro steadies ahead of inflation data, and the dollar eyes key ISM surveys and non-farm payrolls.

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USD Strength Creates Favourable Window for Dollar Sellers Buying Pounds

The U.S. dollar has strengthened while sterling weakens, pushing GBP/USD down. A favourable window has opened for USD sellers buying pounds.

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The Pound Under Pressure: Why UK Inflation, Weak Growth & Fiscal Risks Keep Sterling Vulnerable

The pound faces mounting pressure as UK inflation stays high, growth slows, and fiscal risks rise ahead of the November Budget. Read our full analysis including what the OECD forecasts mean for sterling.

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